Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004226 0.004447 0.004673 0.004924 0.005193 0.005475 0.005792
2025-08-31 0.003819 0.004143 0.004490 0.004890 0.005342 0.005839 0.006428
2025-09-07 0.003540 0.003917 0.004332 0.004826 0.005401 0.006055 0.006861
2025-09-14 0.003322 0.003732 0.004194 0.004757 0.005430 0.006217 0.007218
2025-09-21 0.003185 0.003626 0.004133 0.004764 0.005536 0.006463 0.007676
2025-09-28 0.002984 0.003433 0.003955 0.004615 0.005439 0.006447 0.007799
2025-10-05 0.002882 0.003350 0.003902 0.004612 0.005514 0.006643 0.008194
2025-10-12 0.002832 0.003324 0.003915 0.004688 0.005689 0.006969 0.008773
2025-10-19 0.002734 0.003236 0.003845 0.004652 0.005715 0.007099 0.009092
2025-10-26 0.002648 0.003159 0.003785 0.004626 0.005749 0.007238 0.009427
2025-11-02 0.002567 0.003083 0.003723 0.004592 0.005770 0.007355 0.009735
2025-11-09 0.002538 0.003073 0.003743 0.004666 0.005937 0.007681 0.010361
2025-11-16 0.002471 0.003011 0.003695 0.004648 0.005978 0.007832 0.010742
2025-11-23 0.002402 0.002945 0.003639 0.004616 0.005998 0.007954 0.011084
2025-11-30 0.002327 0.002868 0.003566 0.004556 0.005974 0.008009 0.011322
2025-12-07 0.002255 0.002793 0.003492 0.004493 0.005940 0.008046 0.011532
2025-12-14 0.002213 0.002757 0.003469 0.004499 0.006008 0.008237 0.012001
2025-12-21 0.002121 0.002651 0.003348 0.004362 0.005858 0.008087 0.011896
2025-12-28 0.002081 0.002615 0.003321 0.004359 0.005907 0.008246 0.012317
2026-01-04 0.002070 0.002616 0.003345 0.004429 0.006068 0.008588 0.013075
2026-01-11 0.002023 0.002568 0.003300 0.004396 0.006069 0.008674 0.013388
2026-01-18 0.001982 0.002526 0.003262 0.004372 0.006083 0.008779 0.013741
2026-01-25 0.001940 0.002482 0.003220 0.004341 0.006084 0.008862 0.014059